Sunday, June 23, 2019

From Maloni to the Big Guy at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave



Thank you for acting presidential, Mr. President

GSEs, the POTUS, and some Iran stuff……..

If you’ve seen my last few blogs, read my answers to questions in my blog "comment section,” you’ll understand why I think the wheels have come off from Treasury’s plan to end the GSE “conservatorship” and return Fannie and Freddie to some form of private ownership, through a recapitalization plan. 
In hoping to raise the tens of millions needed to achieve what government officials have proclaimed, Treasury and the GSEs regulator--the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and its new Director Mark Calabria--still have to publish a new capital plan for the two enterprises and, likely, settle with shareholders of the original companies currently suing the government in a variety of cases. 
BUT, I think something has happened in the past few weeks to take the momentum from that promised action and created what appears to be discord between Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and others from the Administration. 
A constant among GSE opponents has been the nation’s largest banks, the various right-wing think tanks, media, Senators and Congresspeople who oppose the Mnuchin idea (which reportedly largely was shaped by his former deputy Craig Phillips, who seemed to have been forced from the “DC in crowd” or just got fed up and left the Admin). 
So in this blog, which starts with my serious “thanks” to the President, I thought I would share what I am seeing on the GSE scene and hope word gets to the POTUS that someone on his team isn’t doing their part. 
Your guess on who that may be is as good as mine, but I’ll accept your guesses in my comment section.
Back to my Trump thank you and connected matters.  
I sit here writing, on Saturday evening, June 22, one day after my wife and I celebrated our 50th wedding anniversary, just nine days after our 7th grandchild was born to Dr. Kryssy Cates Maloni and our third son Bill Maloni, Jr.
We’re traveling to Philadelphia tomorrow to meet/see Molly Kathleen Maloni, her parents, and Baker, the family Rottweiler (our own “Good Dog Carl”).
It occurred to me as a parent, grandparent and active citizen concerned about the future my sons and their progeny will encounter, I want to thank President Donald Trump for making a decision not to retaliate against Iran’s destruction of one of our drone airplanes and risk  escalating a fight he started and then rhetorically ratcheted up. I hope he doesn't deviate.
War should be unthinkable, a last resort, Mr. President, absent a huge and extreme provocation.
President Trump, your early moves involving Iran were questionable, as they baited the Iranians. But, your second moves last week were prudent, better, and more surefooted.
Don’t renege on your latest more statesmanlike position Mr. President.
From what I’ve read your instinct about opposing wars is right, unless faced with an incident in which there was serious deadly damage to the United States, its citizens, or our national interests.
A lone drone being shot down ain’t one of those. (BTW. Someone might want to handcuff or arrest John Bolton, until you can develop your secondary and tertiary Iranian planning. Talk more, threaten less.)
You are surrounded by some whacky staff people and I worry the foreign policy stability and breadth of experience you need in these times may not be present in your one-dimensional war council or inside your own family. 
Widen that circle of advisors. There are plenty of thoughtful Conservatives with whom you can counsel without appearing like you’re knuckling under. Talk to your presidential predecessors. Include a few Democrats—inside the Beltway and a few more outside-- and earn credit for bipartisan discussions. Show patience.
I’ll stop with the praise and kudos and just hope your angry side doesn’t overwhelm your thinking side and we find ourselves in a war that quickly escalates and could turn nuclear. 
Iran isn't Grenada! 
A GSE winner for President Trump... 
A matter far less cosmic but just waiting for you to intervene and indicate your wishes, Mr. President, is what appears to be an internecine battle within your Administration--between Secretary Mnuchin and “others”--who are grappling with Treasury’s decision to free Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs or government-sponsored enterprises) from their 11-year-old federal conservatorship,” a Treasury promise which has been sitting out there for most of the past two years.
But that "stopped financial traffic light" still exists, sir, unfixed.
An executive action plan, designed by Treasury--with ample input from most stakeholders--is ready to operationalize.
But your team has some foot-draggers.
Conservatorship is a pretty word describing that Fannie and Freddie were nationalized by Treasury over a decade ago, with their financial assets expropriated, boards neutered, and management marginalized. Operationally, however, they still support—quite successfully--the nation’s homebuyers, providing billions in liquidity.
The GSEs structurally exist, but in that operational purgatory where all key decisions are conveyed to them by government bureaucrats and regulators.
The nation’s secondary mortgage market sets the rules for the nation’s primary mortgage market, controlled mostly but not exclusively by our country’s large commercial banks, which for years have tried to displace Fannie and Freddie but have failed. 
Banks can’t match the GSE efficiency, desired consumer access, and pricing.
Given your real estate development history, the importance of people owning the roof over their head, and your chagrin for turfy federal bureaucrats, a bold domestic action ending the GSE conservatorship, Mr. President would be overwhelmingly well received by those whose votes you hope to get next year.
Also, that one step alone could be a huge economic stimulus, with a flood of new good paying jobs, when homes are constructed, sold, furnished, and older homes are prepared for sale to the millions of low, moderate, and middle income families still aspiring for their share of the “American Dream.”
You could do that with one meeting when you slap down those slow-walking the Mnuchin plan, and who seem to worry more about their personal political agendas than yours.  
Freeing the GSEs is a political and domestic policy winner for the nation and for you. But, know the nation’s largest banks may not agree. 
The wrong people in town seem to have gotten their hands on this proposal’s procedural throat and are looking to throw sand in the gears of this overdue “fix,” not carry through with Secretary Mnuchin’s sound idea and instincts to fix what, a few weeks ago, you told the Realtors is a “pretty urgent problem.”
The Wall Street investment “experts”--who you told the world are being consulted--appear to support the Mnuchin plan. But, some ideologues within your Administration don’t.
I think those interests need to see what an angry President Trump does when his will is being ignored or worse being buried by excuse-making incompetents.

Maloni, 6-24-2019




14 comments:

  1. Very nice ... and Thank You for this'n
    Wow 50 years with that Maloni character ...
    If that doesn't separate the real saints from the phonies I don't know what will !
    Congrats !!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nice piece Bill. I understand your concerns and frustrations, but as I told you we can reach back on an old Churchill axiom 11 years into the conservatorship: you can count on Americans to do the right thing. After they have tried everything else.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks MrF and you, too, Unknown.

    The POTUS could use a Churchill type, in lieu of Bolton, and on GSE matters.

    If it isn't clear the sands and the foot-dragging seems to be coming from the FHFA side of the street, but what do I know?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Is the timeline still the end of June for the plan to come out?
    If so, we might be a tad premature here....although I tend to agree with you, I am holding out until end of July, come August this is a dead issue as the campaign takes center stage (unless the en banc has something to say)
    I like to think Mnuchin was more than diligent about picking Calabria to steer the boat. As much of an ideologue as we all might think he portends to be and the series of checks and balances that may protect our boiling frog, politics is still the larger mirror image of calling our high school friend at the police station to have a chat with his colleague on the corner with the speed gun....you owe me a favor.
    Perhaps I am naive to believe that this is just a more fragile reflection....or maybe idealistic hurdles were discussed with a member of the VP's staff being so accessible to Mnuchin behind closed doors or back channels and this is just a whole lot of loose end that need knots.
    There is a lot to consider but if the holy trinity was blessed (Mnuchin, Phillips, Calabria) prior to Calabria's appointment and we can say with absolute conviction Phillips is leaving because he is "fed up or driven out" the thesis still holds and time is our reaper.
    Just my two cents but your piece is more than insightful and yes...the voice in the back of my head yelling, McFly!! Wakeup!!

    ReplyDelete
  5. This is one of your funniest posts yet! For a second I thought you actually believed that the President of the United States was actually going to read something about policy.

    The only way Trump reads this blog post-- or anything for that matter-- is if the title of the blog is "TRUMP is the Greatest Great Thing in the History of Great Things!" It would have to includes lots of nice pictures of Trump, of course, and all blog posts would have to begin with "Dear Oh Supreme Leader of Heavenly Greatness" and conclude with "Lock her up!"

    Other than that, you are spot-on, as usual!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thanks, Anon--

    I wondered if DJT would read or listen to someone who did/does>? You think, no, huh? (No surprise, I can't get my wife to read it!)

    My next plan is for a blimp to fly over Camp David, an area where, in the old days, my family and I used to tent camp and cook over outdoor fires.

    Maybe Louis Linton or Mrs. Calabria (if Mark is married) are nearby will read it?

    I am open to creative ways to get the POTUS to read this blog, but it may be unnecessary if we can find the Fifth Circuit judges and hope they did the right thing.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Happy 50th Anniversary to you and your wife!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Thanks for your good wishes, Tony.

    I had to remind of the date and what those flowers were for, but hey...at least I recognized her!! ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  9. "remind my wife"--too quick to tell a joke and dropped the subject of the humor!!!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Congratulations on 50 years and extending the Maloni Family Tree.
    Shocked to see a little (very little) bit of bipartisanship come our from you. Bravo. Together, great things can happen for our country and most importantly for our Grandchildren.
    #1 Anon

    ReplyDelete
  11. Thanks, A#1--

    Some of my best friends.....!

    If you could see the wall in my office where my PC is located, you would recognize some pretty important Republicans grinning and gripping my hand.

    I've always believed in working across the aisle, but the last few years of GOP political obstinance and hostility--as well as their vehemence--has taken a toll on me.

    Avoid the summer heat.

    ReplyDelete
  12. I just re-read this blog and I must admit, it's a pretty good piece; it's accurate and to the point.

    Still waiting for ideas how to get it to the White Hosue or even the Treasury Secretary!

    ReplyDelete
  13. LOOK FOR NEW BLOG, OUT MONDAY, 6-30-2019!

    ReplyDelete
  14. Bill,
    Surprisingly you seem to still believe in SM and his team of wall street traders.
    What is your confidence level that SM is not conspiring (like Hank and Tim) with wall street traders. These traders and bankers want to destroy FnF or prolong conservatorship and NWS as long as possible.

    It is almost more than 2.5 years, SM and his team of wall street traders have done nothing but talk and prolong conservatorship and NWS. Wall street traders are insisting on recap of FnF still under conservatorship. Recapping FnF under conservatorship is another stickup robbery. This stickup robbery massively benefits trader, bankers and their clients. There are thousands problems with recap and release plans that will result in failure to recap FnF. Any failure to recap will permanently put FnF under Gov Control. Existing and new investors will lose all their investment.

    On the other hand, Release and Recap Plans avoid all the risks and uncertainties providing a predictable path to recap. With this plan, the release is immediate without any delay and benefits all the stakeholders. Most of the lawsuits will go away with Release.

    Release and Recap seems to be only viable plan without any risks and uncertainties.

    Please let your readers know what is opinion.

    Thanks
    Release&Recap

    ReplyDelete