Monday, October 28, 2019

"Jump Start?" Come on boys, fess up?


Who is getting what from who?


When I was an active Fannie lobbyist, the affordable housing crowd consistently would rally around and lend their numbers one to another on issues they all supported.
“If we didn’t hang together, we all could hang separately.”
Inherently, we all grasped Ben Franklin’s prescience and mortal warning.
 I am sure many don’t realize it but Mr. Franklin's words have graced the front page of every blog I’ve put out (at the top of the page).
That approach collectivity served the “housers” well and you often would see, pro-housing advocacy letters sent to Congress or the White House signed by 20 or more, prominent industry or social /social interest allies, indicating solidarity among those supporting the shelter needy.
But if the rumors from inside the community are true, something is amiss.
A cadre of spoilers, suddenly enthralled, again, with the work of ex-Senator Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) are trying to revive Corker’s failed approach to fixing Fannie and Freddie, his “Jump Start” legislative proposal.—which I think went down in Senate flames when its original GOP sponsors offered “no mandatory affordable housing support” in their bill—seem to be stirring the ashes and seeking revived support for it from current SBC Senators Senator Mark Warner (D-Va.), Mike Crapo (R-Id.), and others.
Someone in DC always is trying to take advantage of low-income interests and screw them.
The handy victims are presumed to be malleable, unsophisticated, and easy to con or fool, and—invariably—people of color, who have every right to feel marginalized when put through that wringer, again, this time by faux friends.
Happens all of the time but it is more heinous when some of the perpetrators have a history as low mod friends, activists, and advocates themselves. Then, it becomes a three-level game of “who is easiest to fool,” a contest where the rules keep changing.
At these stressful times, you will discover situational friends with their own personal agenda--who decide they can shuck the rest of their traditional allies--will tell Members of Congress and their staffs whatever they want about the issues they’re pitching because those Hill types don’t understand the substance let alone nuance behind the tales they are being fed.
The entire DC Fannie/Freddie GSE scene is confusing enough, with delayed Admin promises to end Conservatorships and various no-win campaigns backing old, losing GSE schemes touted by mainly bad guys threatened by Mnuchin and Calabria and the results of the Fifth Circuit Court.
For the past six months Treasury’s possessed a solid plan to achieve that transition, given impetus by a fresh a Fifth Circuit plaintiffs’ decision--which added political cover--and a new GSE regulator, stumbling as he may be and announcing, unrealistically, his lack of fear in “wiping out all GSE investors.”
Some of what I am describing in the previous paragraphs are continued efforts from the still- seeking-relevancy “fellow travelers” of yesteryear, Obama-ites Mark Zandi and Jim Parrott and their current posse, shilling for legislative ideas from former Senator Bob Corker (R-Tennessee) and his ex-staffer, former Countrywide trader, Milliken Institute, Ginnie Mae ship- jumping Michael Bright, who landed not at the top of Ginnie—since his nomination never got sufficient support—yet earlier this year was named CEO of the Structured Finance Industry Group.
Reportedly, other pro-Head Start advocates working the case are Mike Calhoun, prominent houser and President of CRL the, Corporation for Responsible Lending and Eric Stein, CRL alum and recent aide to Mel Watt (Mark Calabria’s Democrat predecessor). With Stein, reportedly, now headed to the Milken Institute.
The current story is the tricksters have been stirring up trouble among Hill denizens and low-income groups, trying to resurrect the old Corker “Jump Start” bill, and trigger a fights/ disunion between Calabria/FHFA (now the interim “good guys”) and those who read differently the affordable housing tea leaves.
I can’t begin to divine all of the conflicting agendas of these identified principals, but first off—fearful of the recent progress the White House has made, these new opponents seek anything which slows down ending Conservatorship. In their minds, delay is good.
Pretty crappy show of support for the other affordable housing interests—who root for Conservatorship to end, “right *&^%$#@ now!”
Not to mention stabbing in the back the Fannie and Freddie senior staff which have sent lots of corporate financial support CRL’s way ($$$).
People on both sides of the aisle and both sides of the Hill know—because of the wide ideological gap between the respective Financial Services committees—no GSE common legislation can emerge in this Congress.
So, the mischief-makers go for a procedural halt, any dispute to gum up the process.
Ending conservatorship sits on uncertain ground, which delay hurts.
Worse, matters easily could be vaulted into 2020, slowed down by the quadrennial election and then, tied up, over the anticipated D or R challenges to those results and/or any legal challenges to FHFA’s Constitutional viabilities.
A Democrat presidential victory wipes out current Treasury leadership and possibly FHFA, too, depends on a legal decision as to the constitutional viability of FHFA. 
But, why is CRL’s Mike Calhoun or anyone else in the low-mod housing community trying to frustrate the GSEs which just want to get back doing their previous excellent work in the neighborhoods?
What does he/CRL stand to gain?
Activists, question him; if he wants your support ask him to explain, exactly, why Bob Corker’s old legislation, never thoughtful or strategic, suddenly is? Be careful who you follow and for what you sign up. Make sure those “past friends”--who come a calling--hold your interests as high as they hold their own?

Maloni, 10-28-2019


29 comments:

Gustave H. said...

Ah, Bill. Let ‘em. It’s their job. You of all people should know they’ll never stop. 45B LOA don’t lie, nor does Collins. Even Maxine was crying about 5% capital being asinine.

Foster got the shorts what they wanted with his comments and Calabria boyscouted like only he can. “First of all, I agree with you. Yes. I do. Yes sir. They should have been wiped out in 2008 but they werent’t. They will bring capital. If it happens again, they will be wiped out. Hm-hm, yes yes. I salute you. Excuse me for whimpering but Steven has my testicles in an iron grip and Louise is pulling them.“

Bill Maloni said...

Gustave--Thanks, man.

You're a breath of fresh air.

Of course, the matter could apply to any contentious issue, where sides are taken and a principal blows hard, but, changes unis, runs across the street and joins the other team.

The subject may be one that divides the big banks (surprise) and the low mod guys if an when to remove the "patch."

Beware the "flip-floppers."

The patch gives the GSEs a slightly broader market and a corresponding shrinking of the banks share.

Gustave H. said...

Beware all the interests and all the lobbyists and all the think tanks and all the campaign funds and all the big banks and all the Carneys and Lights and rep. Fosters and Hank Paulsons.

It’s fun watching TINA play out. I mean, Bill, what’s your favorite drink for watching a hearing with?

Bill Maloni said...

Vodka and grapefruit juice.....and that's when I am in a hearing room!

Anonymous said...

Jeb Hensarling and now Eric Stein at Milken? Wow. Something is going on there.

Anonymous said...

Seems like just simply more and i do mean more delay ... without really accomplishing much.

This whole mess they created with the annexation / invasion / takeover of fannie and freddie was done in what... three months from passing HERA (an abortion of a bill) to the gutting of the Whale (fannie and freddie) that they've devoured its profits for what 11 years?

Really? 11 years of free money.

So, what will they pay for the money they stole? And why has it taken 11 years to give them back.


Again, they gutted them seemingly overnight... but now it takes months to return them ? Naked, penniless and afraid ??

Seems very cowardice.

Original Anonymous (mostly reading the blurb and never posting, I am)

Gustave H. said...

Anon,

Politics is about having a toy up your butt and then deciding how to get it out by comittee; deciding takes years, the pulling mere seconds.

Paulson and his buddies only got to conservatorship and heads hitting the floor after years and years of FMwatch, faked accounting scandals, getting to the CEO-post, getting into Treasury, then leaking self-written Treasury memos to the press, writing HERA, then forcing Lockhart (or deceiving him) to state that everything’s fine before decapitating the very enterprises that, after the crisis, saved the mortgage market for the second time in thirty years.

7 years of NWS is a travesty, but they never succeeded in wiping the secondary market off the face of this earth.

They lost. Funny how the story of Mnuchin becoming Trump’s campaign manager entailed happenstance, literally getting pulled on stage by Trump, and all his Democrat friends leaving him. Then lo and behold. There’s Steve and Wilbur on TV knocking the common share prices up to five.

And now we’re here.

“I think they should short it, ‘cause it’s major BS!” - Bob Corker

Bill Maloni said...

The delaying tactics still suggest the Admin doesn't know what it wants to do and when or they are too involved the DJT's political woes.

If the President and his adviser, really believe he's in danger of losing 2020's election, I wonder who among them will suggest (finally) the ending of the Conservatorship and freeing the GSE, if properly handled--not like he's personalized the killing of Al Bagdadi ("I've been looking for this guy for three years")--will provide what he needs.

Bill Maloni said...

Readers--Good news or bad news--and why--in the latest SCOTUS GSE development??

Gustave H. said...

Bill,

There is a theory going around among shareholders where the fact that scotus would not take on the case (for lack of a final judgment by lower fifth court) would give optical cover to the administration to settle.

Visavis: Thompson on the Pagliara call. Apparently scotus doesn’t usually accept “interlocutory” verdicts/appeals.

The theory, in a way, played out before given the earlier timing of the Treasury/HUD plans and en banc ruling a day later.

Bill Maloni said...

Gustave--

That was the substance of my first caLL to Howard this morning, wondering why the government would ask such a heavy and far-reaching question---if it didn't already know the answer it will get???

Tim--returning from a 20-mile bike ride--directed me to his blog and the exchange between ROLG ("rule of law guy") and himself.

I'm still having trouble following the government's logic.

But, if anyone thinks the government is "tapping out," then GSE stocks should run up.

Bill Maloni said...

So Freddie reports its numbers and Fannie adds $4 BILLION more, what does their "why do I need to be supportive" Regulator announces they are not pleasing him--nothing about succeeding at their mission--and goes onto promise "changes, plus warn them not to hire consultants until he does!

His shop has been closely monitoring the GSEs fort 11 years and they still don't have sufficient internal expertise to construct their own risk-based capital standards???

So, he will waste some more of the GSEs money.

How about firing some of those clerks and pay for your consultants that way, Mr. Director?

Anonymous said...

Bill,

You are such a phony spinner learning your Liberal crafts & tricks from MSNBC, Washington Compost and the New York Slime.

His shop has been closely monitoring the GSEs fort 11 years........ Correction: It was Husain & Watt who held the keys and did absolutely NOTHING. You slam this Administration continually but they are the ones moving F&F on and exit.

Are you a F&F shorter? Because you are continually slamming and about 99.9% wrong on everything you write.

PLUGGERS said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Bill Maloni said...

Anon--

You are so full of GOP BS, your eyes must be brown!

From 2008, FHFA attracted dozens of rabid Fannie and Freddie naysayers from every DC nook and cranny, who stayed and thrived during the BHO years, when most anti-GSE aggression was conducted by the White House using Parrott, Stegman, the Urban Institute, etc.

You should be glad I am feeling happy and not making more of the absolute lying ass the POTUS has made of himself in the past week.

Other than himself, there isn't a soul or interest in the nation he wouldn't 't sacrifice--complete with his dismissive putdowns--to stay in office.
presidents.
(He's not your father's Dwight Eisenhauer, Ronald Reagan, or either of the Bush

Anonymous said...

When you see the landslide in the next election, a totally crushing defeat, it will prove you wrong once again. Fact is you spun right over your dishonest comment. “His shop has been closely monitoring the GSEs fort 11 years”.....

My eyes may be brown but you sir shouldn’t throw stones living in a glass house. Your historical collection of posts clearly show what comes from your heart, a novice at dishonesty posing as a master.

Bill Maloni said...

Hey Anon--you must be math-deficient in addition to being naive politically. Personally, I can't wait for the 2020 November elections, now that Trump is openly admitted seeking foreign assistance for his personal political needs (as he did in 2016, since the one thing both p[arties agreed with--in the Mueller Report--was Russian interference in that contest).

Read the following carefully and slowly --I'll use small words for you--HERA created FHFA 11 years ago (in 2008), FHFA has been regulating F&F for 11 years, making business decisions for them, appropriating business data and publishing it as if the info is the agency's, not the GSEs. Putting out GSE Quarterly Busines Reports for investors and the SEC.

It's Calabria who is new, not FHFA.

It's the FHFA staff--largely unchanged--which has been overseeing and making rules for the GSEs for 11 years and should have acquired/developed enough understanding and operational expertise in 11 years time to satisfy Calabria's request for it to design a capital regime to usher F&F out of Conservbatorship, which I guess it can't because the new Director now needs to go outside and pay $20 Million-$30 Million to get what he wants/needs!

Remember, every dollar FHFA saves--since it comes from GSEs revenue--is a dollar which can remain F&F capital.

Anonymous said...

should call congress about wasteful spending of FHFA

Gustave H. said...

Bill,

Isn’t the investment bank advice seeking on behalf of FHFA a form of giving the TBTF dogs some food in the forms of fees, which consitute about 1/1000th of the GSEs quarterly earnings? You as a former lobbyist and HUD kneecapper must be familiar with some of this rent-seeking behavior. I may be wrong. Furthermore, wouldn’t the investment bankers be required for the roadshow that FHFA is not allowed to conduct, thereby, as a byproduct, optically legitimizing the process for investors new and old?

Thank you in advance.

Anonymous said...

Dear Mr Shorter,

Your comment “Read the following carefully and slowly --I'll use small words for you--HERA created FHFA 11 years ago

I read your stuff carefully and why I asked you a simple question. Why did you use “His” shop has been closely monitoring the GSEs fort 11 years? Because you were actively trying to degrade the person, ironically for the issues created by the Liberal Loons you support.

You can fool all the people some of the time and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time.

Bill Maloni said...

Anon-Give it a rest.

Calabria runs FHFA, so it is "his shop," which is descriptive phrase often used in this town, i.e. When I worked there, the Fannie Mae congressional operation was "Maloni's shop."

I certainly never suggested he should know enough about the GSEs to design the Conservatorship transition plan himself.

But what has really disappointed me--and it should you, too, if you are a shareholder--is the fact that nobody in his agency has the skills--after watching the GSEs for 11 years--to put together the work Calabria wants done.

He now needs an outside group to do that work, which means shareholders have to cough up more GSE earnings/revenue to satisfy his needs based on FHFA's shortcoming and the FHFA talent pool is very thin.

What has this regulatory workforce been doing in those 572 work weeks?

Likely not a lot.

Why is my calling them out so anathema to you??

You better get some Pepto Bismol handy, because these new several weeks are going to be rocky for the POTUS.

Let's see if the Senate R's are going to let him and his posse malign and attack, Vietnam and Iraq veterans, and veteran diplomatic corps members because of their testimony pointing out that their concern that a US President shouldn't call on a foreign nation to help him gather dirt on Joe Biden.

*******************************************************************************************

For those of you tired of this subject, I am working--albeit slowly--on a pure GSE blog.

G. Buckman said...

Per your last comment, thanks Bill. I'm looking forward to reading it.

Bill Maloni said...

It will be about Calabria and his at times crazy and conflicting slow walk toward ending Conservatorship.

Anonymous said...

since Calabria became FHFA director, stock price didn't increase because of him. 5th circuit decision boosted it.

he needs to tell the country: he will treat current shareholders fairly, and make GSEs attractive to new investors while limiting taxpayer risk.

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