Wednesday, April 1, 2020

FHFA anthem: "Go slow, go slow, it's back to work we go."




All around, clomp, drag, clomp, drag

When President Trump last year nominated Mark Calabria to head the Federal Housing Finance Agency and become the GSE’s new Conservator plus safety and soundness regulator, Calabria, knowing his inclinations and biases, wisely, invested in a pair of 30-pound, wraparound Velcro ankle weights. Wearing them all of the time was clumsy, but he knew it would facilitate his preferred slow-walking policy, clomp, drag.
Everything GSE which came to his desk, got a clomp, drag. 
Calabria thinking:
“Let’s hire some outside capital consultant,” clomp, drag; “let’s bring in some new (conservative) staff,” clomp, drag; “let’s push back the date to publish the GSE capital regs,” clomp, drag; “let’s hire new office painters and paint my walls purple while putting wallpaper in my executive bathroom,” clomp, drag.
Dutifully the Director wore his weights, his calf muscles grew wondrously, but, unfortunately, MC forgot to take off his new devices when swimming at the YMCA, last month, and nearly drowned.
And, while he wasn’t a great “clogger” beforehand when he wore the weights he stepped on his wife’s toes so often, she stopped taking him to the neighborhood clog dances.
“Recap and release,” clomp, drag. “Consent decrees,” clomp, drag. Free the GSE Two, clomp, drag!
In light of the COVID-19 crisis and to show POTUS-solidarity, all FHFA employees were directed by their boss to learn how to spell all of those useless/mystery  drugs the President claims just might be the answer to the novel coronavirus infecting all of us, clomp, drag.
To make it easier, MC put this 2-page drug list on cards, and—apparently--most FHFA execs got stuck after the word “aspirin.”
We know what things Calabria doesn’t want the GSEs to do because he finds ways to announce them on his regular trade association speaking circuit.
But last week he was given a stupendously positive  idea and it came from an unusual source, former MBA President, now private citizen, David Stevens, who suggested utilizing the GSEs to help mitigate more mortgage industry problems.
No doubt Stevens’ idea will get a clomp, drag from Calabria because Dave’s ideas make so much sense.
Ponder this, I don’t think I am the only one who has never heard Calabria utter one truly positive word about the GSEs their achievements or their capacity to do more. Not one accolade. It’s like he feels he has he has to apologize for them, rather than see success and utility as civic virtues and celebrate the two mortgage giants he oversees.
For those who haven’t read them, here are Steven’s suggestions as reported by Paul Muolo in Inside Mortgage Finance.
Meanwhile, former FHA commissioner Dave Stevens noted, “Mortgage markets have reached a perilous level of risk. Excess supply of MBS as investors offload/reposition and originator pipelines are large, combined with far fewer buyers than compared to previous corrections are threatening institutions across the country.”
He’s calling on the government to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to bolster their purchases of MBS.
“Today, the GSEs cannot grow their portfolios so they cannot buy, banks are constrained due to regulatory leverage rules enacted post Dodd-Frank, and the Fed [Federal Reserve] has only slightly increased purchase activity, far short of what is needed, Stevens said. “We saw no-bids last week on some agency MBS forward trades. The FHFA [Federal Housing Finance Agency] needs to step in and let the GSEs buy MBS for a temporary period…”
Meanwhile, some, such as Brian Benjamin of Two Rivers Mortgage in northern New Jersey, are asking the FHFA to hike the GSE loan limit to $1 million from $510,400 currently.

Clearly, this is too progressive a bite for FHFA and Calabria’s mob, although the GSEs years ago, at the direction of Congress on an emergency basis, once bought loans above their set single-family ceilings when the “jumbo” market (loans above the GSE single-family ceilings) froze. Obviously, when they were permitted to have portfolios, both Fannie and Freddie invested in MBS, often guaranteed by the other.

If the GSEs once again could –temporarily, say for the next six months or until the end of the year, buy MBS—that GSE purchase activity would keep mortgage securities rates down which then translate into lower prices individuals pay when they finance a home purchase.

One would think those actions would complement what the Fed and Treasury are doing. But, I suspect they would make the GSEs stronger, in terms of value to the national economy and generate greater income for Treasury, which is where they likely run afoul of Calabria's private policy thoughts.

What do you say Director Mark, has David Stevens titillated you or will you just clomp, drag his suggestion.

President Trump and his COVID-19 response

I won’t prattle about this matter, since it’s all over the front pages and the airways, except on Fox, and is too deadly.

But real leaders don’t spend weeks lying to their citizens about the health threat, downplaying obvious medical facts, and trying to blame everyone within pointing reach for his anti-science ignorance.

In wartimes—as he claims we—he’s waited too long and directed industry too inconsistently  to facilitate producing needed medical equipment, and geometric amounts of testing supplies, gowns and masks, and crucial ventilators and related materials.

A confident and capable President doesn’t criticize the Governors who have stepped up to prepare and protect their states, while he ruminates from afar.
Ten weeks ago, he dismissed evidence that the novel coronavirus had begun to infect the nation, because we had so few infected citizens and resulting deaths.

Yesterday, the Admin suggested the death toll could be somewhere between 100,000 or a million and conditions will last 18 months.

Get off your ass Mr. President, you have plenty of tricks remaining to influence November's election and no doubt are heating them up.
So, stop trying to assuage your red state political machine (most of these states which haven’t put in place or enforced staying in place using social distancing and other tools) and see their recalcitrance as the source for future health problems for the rest of us.

Donald John Trump you are the President of the United States, act like it.

Maloni, 4-1-2020



14 comments:

Anonymous said...

Is this a FNMA blog or a libtard blog

Bill Maloni said...

Anon (why do you folks fail to use your real names?)--

The blog is whatever I say it is, If you're new it means I claim my right to discuss whatever issues are top of mind, with GSE matters being first....and other matters following.

Are you a little defensive over the lame and cowardly POTUS performance on the COVID-19 life and death issues facing the nation?

If you want to avoid the truth, as I see it, go to Fox or don't read my blog. Then, you always can complain to management!

Bill Maloni said...

For those of you still counting or who have stopped counting because he's such a liar with his lackeys backing him up--here are dozen instances in the past several weeks when the POTUS lied about COVI-19, its US presence, and its effects.

Just today, Vice-Liar Mike Pence tried to dismiss all of those DJT comments, despite the fact we have supporting-video for the President's every word.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/01/politics/donald-trump-coronavirus-mike-pence/index.html


BTW, has anyone heard from Trump's international friends, Vlad Putin, North Korea's Kim, the Saudis, offering medical equipment and/or medical supplies??

anon1 said...

Paradoxically, all these unaccountable hypocrites (bureaucrats) talk about protecting taxpayers with bank like capital and other free market principles like competition, level paying fields.

First of all, bureaucrats do not seem to even understand FnF insurance business model but want to impose bank like capital. The job of FHFA Director is to regulate GSEs based on the laws congress has created whether he personally likes them or not. Bureaucrats can not ignore or violate the laws because he does not like the system congress has created.

Before becoming FHFA Director Calabria openly criticized Hank and Demarco for ignoring and violating the laws. But Calabria has been continuing the same since last one year that too despite white house policy directives to end conservatorship as soon as possible. Calabria needs to publicly explain why he is continuing Conservatorship and who are working against White House policy directives.

Let hear us from FHFA Director Calabria about these:

All the lawless things bureaucracy has done to impose conservatorship, and then to sink FnF with mafia loans and NWS.

How about public accountability at FHFA?

How about removing all the secrecy and 4617(F) protections FHFA bureaucrats are using in the Courts to hide the crimes?

Bill Maloni said...

Anon 1, first hope you are yours are safe and sound.

You are spot-on, not only the FHDA folks but few--if any--on the Hill do either, which is why those public hearings seldom get into substance.

Calabria is in so far over his head, like the man who is not a doctor but feels qualified to offer medical advice, because he stayed at a Holiday Inn last night.

Look at the capital regs initially posted in 2018 (excuse me, clomp, drag) which stubbornly he suggests won't be changed.
Look at them in light of what's happening now in the mortgage market. As the regs were initially structured--which many commenters who understand the issue pointed out needed to be corrected--if they were in place today, capital demands at the GSEs would scream higher, just as you need their liquidity more.

Stay healthy.



Anon1 said...


SM and MC have proven without any doubts that they are unwilling appointees in implementing WH Policy directives with their clever "clomp, drag, clomp, drag" slow-walking strategy. SM and MC seem to be more interesting in serving loan originators.

HUD started as "House and Home Financing Agency". OFHEO (predecessor of FHFA) was under HUD. So it is appropriate to involve HUD Sy Ben Carson to supervise implementation of WH Policy directives to end Conservatorship.

SM/UST as a investor has inherent conflict of interest in whom it serves. MC seems to be a unsuitable in the role of FHFA Director with lack of executive leadership experience. It is logical that HUD-Sy be in charge of all the matters related to Housing and Urban Development matters.

SM has nothing to show after 3.5 years and MC has nothing to show after 1 year. Hope WH realizes this and puts right people in charge of implementation of WH Policy directives to end Conservatorship.

Bill Maloni said...

Anon 1--

FHFA's Calabria has no problem rumor-mongering suggesting the GSEs might need a bailout if tough times persist. If that is so, it's not from anything they've done wrong, quite the contrary.

Instead of raising that specter, since he's the one who could have but didn't allow them to keep more of their $250 Billion of past earnings as protective capital.
He also could have long ago published their RBC rules and NOT contemplate--which he has publicly and in numerous ways--handicapping them with burdensome bank-like high capital requirements, but he waits and doddle and clomp drags.
What a cowardly manager, almost blatantly hoping the GSEs need some form of assistance rather than taking steps to p[revent that possibility.

Stay healthy, man!

Marc said...

Have big banks ever said a nice word about GSEs? Has Calabria? The think tank he worked for? Similarity tells something.

After Jan 2021, a new game.

Bill Maloni said...

Marc--

Unfortunately, I don't have a photographic memory, but I do remember past conversations I had with major bank officials about why they valued the Fannie and Fannie function and ease of operations.

Banks have a structural conflict, which the GSEs solved.

For the most part, lenders who can put their single-family mortgage assets on their own books can make the most money.

But, even the best can't manage the inherent interest rate risk between their assets (mortgage loans) with liabilities, debt that fund those loans.

Since banks rely primarily on their demand deposits (checking and savings accts) to fund mortgages, they can find themselves at a mismatch if rates quickly rise or fall.

That's when the GSEs are most valuable to banks, buying or securitizing their mortgage
assets, quickly providing liquidity and transferring risk, when rates move.

But, don't ask me to show you where that is written or loudly advocated by bank interests.

I used Dave Steven's IMF-reported statement in this blog, to show the many ways and in what circumstances the GSEs can help (mainly) bank lenders.

Jane Morrison said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Bill Maloni said...

Have deleted company promotions, not blog comments.

Maloni

Bill Maloni said...

New blog in the works......Maloni

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