Who is
the nation’s most beloved woman and why?
Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Michelle Obama, Laura Bush, Barbra
Streisand, Betsy DeVos, Oprah, Hillary Clinton???
Any one of them could lead many such lists, but now with the
full disclosure about his unnecessarily complex, heavily ideological proposed
risk-based capital, the FHFA’s Mark Calabria has catapulted 65-year-old federal
claims court--Judge Margaret Sweeney--to the top spot because she seems to be the only federal judge whose decisions say anything
positive about Fannie and Freddie, the US rule of law, and the prospects of GSE
plaintiffs securing some relief from the government’s heavy-handed pillage of
GSE profits and market operations via the 2013 “sweep.”
GSE fans have been sending her all sorts of gifts to insure
she enjoys a long, vigorous, and happy life: vitamins, personalized COVID-19
masks, pelotons, health foods, chickens, sleep adjusted mattresses, names of
age-appropriate trainers, meal suggestions, strength techniques, etc. It’s
rumored that RBG’s trainer even chatted up Sweeney on correct barbell usage.
You get the picture. Judge Sweeney represents an element
necessary to all heavy underdogs….hope!
RBC
Speaking of Mark Calabria and his latest risk-based-capital
proposal—for those still struggling to grasp it--what’s not to understand?
It’s a highly ideological capital construct designed to
make the GSEs less effective while, simultaneously, leveraging the ability of
the nation’s largest banks to compete in the mortgage world.
No matter how much MC and his staff dodge and run, they
can’t escape its inherent higher costs which will impact mortgagors and knock
some of them—likely the lower-income segment—from being able to afford a
mortgage.
No matter their history, the FHFA posse doesn’t consider
Fannie and Freddie real businesses which in the past returned dividends and
growth to rapturous investors
There is Calabria’s other hidden problem with hamstringing
Fannie and Freddie. He needs them in the future “as real businesses” so they
can attract billions of dollars from new investors who would like to see their
GSE stock purchases earn money, which is what most investors seek.
FHFA’s and Calabria’s actions to date seem more destructive
than constructive which is why GSE fans are rooting for Judge Sweeney’s health
and willingness to continue her exposure of government lying and perfidy
against Fannie and Freddie in hopes, some court gets that message.
The SCOTUS ended its current session without acting on the
“Selia” case, which could have decided the constitutionality of the FHFA,
mooting some of its actions.
So, more delay.
And now Mark Calabria gets to oversee another deferral
tactic a “GSE-driven Wall Street MMA battle,” with today’s announcement that
Fannie (Morgan Stanley) and
Freddie (J.P. Morgan-Chase) have chosen
their own Wall Street investment banking warriors to rumble in an eight-sided
octagon office FHFA has built for the negotiations.
All of this pisses away more GSE money on “outside
consultants” and chews up more of the clock to help decide the ground rules for
any GSE departure from Conservatorship.
Why does FHFA have 600 or so employees, but every time they
do anything important, the agency requires outside consulting help or is that
just a Calabria MO?
In his “2019 Report
to Congress,” sent this week to the Hill, Calabria seeks even more power to
destabilize the secondary mortgage market by seeking statutory authority to create
competitive guarantors. (Maybe he’ll use
his 600 do-nothings to work on that task??)
Maybe it’s the slowly drying up optimist in me, but I
believe when all the dust settles, much of the Calabria plan will fall by the
wayside because of its negative financial impact on the families Congress wants/expects
to benefit the most from GE operations.
Now we all get to watch just how?
Maloni,
6-16-2020
6 comments:
Forgot to add that previously FHFA hired the firm of Houlihan Lokey to advise it on capital and Conservatorship issues, creating the IB triumvirate which will "advise' the main players.
Thanks Bill, have always enjoyed your blogs!
Have you heard anything from NAR or NHBA who should be objecting profusely about the inevitable increase of 20 to 50bps to future buyers of homes as the GSE's hold way too much capital to be able to make rates great for America?
Anon--
Yes, but nothing official. I expect the NAR eventually to object for the very reasons you cited.
Bill, I come to realize starting with a high recap req makes perfect sense to Mnuchin and Calabria. When potential investors demand lower capital, they may agree. To GSE opponents, they can say: I tried. But investors wouldn't put their money. You cannot blame me.
ANA--
One of several explanations (excuses) available to them.
Their pain comes in trying to wing the GSEs, they have to leave them attractive enough to generate $200 Billion of investment capital. That's a tough horse to ride.
After today's SCOTUS's CFPB decision, Mark Calabria shouldn't buy any green bananas!
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